In an article today, the Associated Press is speculating about third parties’ near-term future in this country, based on strong candidacies this year:
Third party candidates could upend two major races in elections Tuesday, and the success of those candidacies is a warning shot fired at both major parties by voters angry at government and disillusioned by politics as usual…
But the impact of those candidacies on the high-profile contests points to an anti-incumbent, anti-establishment sentiment that could be a prevailing theme in the 2010 congressional elections and beyond.
At the Atlantic Wire, Mara Gay comments on this sentiment and links to a few other blogs:
A lot is riding on next week’s hotly contested state and gubernatorial elections. All eyes are on Virginia, New Jersey, and, of course, upstate New York’s congressional race, where conservative third party candidate Doug Hoffman looks likely to shut out his Republican opponent. For weeks, pundits have argued that the elections represent a referendum on President Obama, Democrats and the direction of the Republican party. But a handful of commentators now say that the sudden zeal for third party candidates like Doug Hoffman reveals a deep disdain for both major political parties.
NJPoliticker also carried an interesting blog post that included some information about Daggett’s polling:
Daggett has done as well as 20% in recent polls, but results have been mixed. A Suffolk University poll released today, which included all 12 gubernatorial candidates, showed Daggett at only 7% (Daggett said that the poll’s methodology was off, since listening to 12 names being read over the phone was not similar to looking at them on a ballot).
A Fairleigh Dickinson University poll from earlier this month showed him at 17% when his name was mentioned, but only 4% of respondents volunteered his name as a response when it wasn’t (independent Gary Steele, a much more obscure gubernatorial candidate, garnered 12% when his name was mentioned in the FDU poll).
With the terrible ballot design that’s prevalent in New Jersey, this could bode very badly for Daggett.