Harry Eten a senior political writer and analyst for the website FiveThirtyEight.com published an article titled, “What Went Wrong For Gary Johnson?” earlier today. The article explicates several reasons for Johnson’s consistent polling slide. (About .5 percent per week – from a high above 9 percent six weeks ago to a current 5.6 percent.) Among those reasons – missing the CPD debates, policy-related gaffes, the traditional protest-vote pre-election fade, Sanders’ supporters following Sanders’ admonitions to vote for HRC, McMullin’s impact on voting behavior in Utah and other LDS (Mormon) communities, etc.
“The only real question for the rest of Johnson’s campaign is how much more ground, if any, will he lose? As long as Johnson doesn’t dip below 5 percent, he’ll qualify the Libertarian Party for federal funding in 2020. That still looks like it’s probably going to happen. And while that might not be the most glorious ending, it’s still a better ending nationally than any other third-party candidate for president since 1996.”
The full article can be read HERE.