Good news for Libertarian Party from 2018 election

Jim in this month’s IPR open thread wrote [my comments in brackets]:

Gary Johnson, overall, is in 3rd [best ever] for a Libertarian for US Senate with 15.39%. [top result was in 2016]

Brian Luke, for Washington State US House district 2, has 28.46%, which is 3rd best ever for a Libertarian US House candidate. He’s 0.38% away from 2nd place, so that isn’t out of the realm of possibility.

David Dinwiddie, for Arkansas State Auditor, has 27.62%, which is the best an LP candidate has ever done for State Auditor.

John Yeutter, for Oklahoma State Auditor, has 24.82%. That would have set the record for a Libertarian candidate for that office, if it weren’t for David Dinwiddie in Arkansas. The previous record, now in 3rd place, was set in 2016.

Ashley Ewald, for Arkansas State Treasurer, has 29.07%, which is the best an LP candidate has ever done for State Treasurer.

Marco Battaglia, for Iowa Attorney General, has 22.79%, which is the 2nd best an LP candidate has ever done for Attorney General. The record was set in 2016.

Laura Ebke, for Nebraska state senate district 32, has 43.68%, which is the 2nd best an LP candidate has done for state senate. She’s 0.70% behind the record.

Bethany Baldes, for Wyoming state house district 55, has 49.01%, which is the best an LP candidate has ever done for state house, not counting major party cross endorsed candidates [and multi-winner districts].

And Mark Ash, for Texas Court of Criminal Appeals Place 8, has 1,609,716 votes, which is the 2nd most an LP candidate has ever racked up, behind only Gary Johnson in 2016. Ash is the 12th Libertarian to reach the 1,000,000 vote mark, and the first to do so in a non-Presidential year. All twelve 1 million vote getters have come since 2008.

Some stats I put together for LPedia:

https://lpedia.org/Best_Election_Results

https://lpedia.org/The_1,000,000_Vote_Club

Number of states (& DC) with Presidential ballot access following mid-terms: +4
2014: 30
2018: 34 (I think, but I’m not completely sure.) [New record coming out of midterm]

Voter Registration: +165,000
2014: 400,150
2018: 565,578 (A few states are still several months out of date.) [New all time record]

Minimum unique voters: +500,000
2014: 3,695,444
2018: 4,204,637 (Very preliminary and not very thorough.)
[Likely to go up]

4 thoughts on “Good news for Libertarian Party from 2018 election

  1. rob

    I assume this is meant to ignore LP candidates who actually got elected to e.g. State House?

    It would help to know if these were 2 or 3 way elections, and who the others were and years.

    Thanks.

  2. paulie Post author

    I assume this is meant to ignore LP candidates who actually got elected to e.g. State House?

    Such as?

    It would help to know if these were 2 or 3 way elections, and who the others were and years.

    Feel free to provide this information. If I see something interesting I will add it to the post.

  3. Jim

    That Minimum Unique Voter number is up to 4,646,448.

    But, the typical libertarian result really was down this year. What it looks like happened is that more people voted for Libertarian candidates, but they voted for Libertarians fewer times. In other words, if you take the total number of votes received by Libertarian candidates and divide it by the minimum unique voter number, it works out to 3.5, historically. I haven’t finished putting the numbers together this year, but I’m estimating that’s going to come in at around 2.8 this year. So a lot of these people were voting Libertarian for State Auditor or something, and then skipping the Libertarian candidates for US House and state legislature.

  4. Jim

    rob “I assume this is meant to ignore LP candidates who actually got elected to e.g. State House?”

    I covered some of that in a different comment in the Open Thread.

    57 Libertarians have been elected to state legislature with a major party cross endorsement and many of those exceeded 49%. I wasn’t counting them.

    5 Libertarians have been elected as state legislators without a major party cross endorsement. 4 of those were in multi-winner districts. They won with between 7.3% and 17.9%.

    The only Libertarian who won in a single winner district without a major party cross endorsement was Andre Marrou. And he had both an R and a D opponent, so he won with 40.5%.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *