2018 Mid-Term Elections Prediction Thread

Per the suggestion in the November 2018 Open Thread, this thread is for predictions concerning the Mid-Term elections to be held Tuesday, November 6.

Possible predictions:

  • How will the elections affect the party composition of each House of Congress and governorship nationwide?
  • What alternative and/or independent candidates are you closely following and how do you think they will fare?
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Bill Gelineau: Michigan has a choice. Why not a Libertarian?

By Bill Gelineau

For someone who is not a professional politician, the last two years have been quite a ride. When Gov. Gary Johnson qualified the Libertarian Party as a “major party” in the 2016 Presidential race (by earning at least 5 percent of the presidential vote), it became clear to me that this was an opportunity not to be lost.… Read more ...

Restoring public trust and healing the deep wounds

This year, I have had the honor of representing the Indiana Green Party as their candidate for Secretary of State. I chose to ally myself with the Green Party because I personally resonate with its core values of grassroots democracy, ecological wisdom, social justice and nonviolence.

I have traveled around the state over the past nine months meeting many thoughtful and concerned citizens, people of all colors and creeds, from many ethnic backgrounds and economic levels.… Read more ...

Green Party candidates call to cut military budget 50% to re-invest in NY domestic needs

Albany, NY – Green Party candidates in New York called today for at least a 50% cut in the federal military budget in order to free up funds to invest in combatting climate change and meeting other domestic needs such as education, infrastructure and housing.

“Cutting the military budget is far more important to the well-being of New York residents than Cuomo’s attempts to enable wealthy taxpayers to continue to deduct state and local taxes.… Read more ...

David Earl Williams III Speech, “Solution to Chicago’s Gang Violence”

On October 20th, 2018, David Earl Williams III, candidate for Alderman in Chicago’s 48th ward – spoke in front of a crowd of 31 attendees for 46 minutes at the College of Complexes on his “Solution to Chicago’s Gang Violence.”

He spoke fiercely against stop-and-frisk and the use of the National Guard to quell Chicago’s on-going violence.… Read more ...

Invisibility of Incumbency – When Congress does not speak for you.

This race is about a crisis — a crisis in justice, ecology, peace and democracy. The time is now to change our habits, raise our expectations, and stop accepting the status quo. The status quo is not what we want or need, and that was true even before Trump’s terrible time in office.… Read more ...

Libertarian candidates Matt Waters and Larry Sharpe on Kennedy, Fox Business Network 9 pm EDT tonight

Matt Waters via FB:


I will be joining Larry Sharpe this evening on FOX Business with Kennedy. Please tune in at 9pm (eastern -p), and spread the word!

Matt Waters is running for US Senate in Virginia and Larry Sharpe is running for Governor of NY.

Boston Globe Editorial board endorsement: Dan Fishman, a Libertarian, for auditor

H/T Jess Mears via FB, posted at BostonGlobe.com:

The office of the state auditor could do so much more for Massachusetts, but not under the leadership of Suzanne Bump.

The unfolding payroll scandal at the State Police — which somehow escaped the incumbent Democratic auditor’s notice — is a good example of the sort of waste and abuse that a real activist in the job might ferret out on behalf of taxpayers.… Read more ...

LP.org: Oklahoma Libertarian congressional candidate interviewed for Muskogee Phoenix

Posted at LP.org:

Richard Castaldo portrait, wearing white shirt, dark tie, eyeglasses, arms crossed, grinning, standing before an American flag on pole and dark backdrop (color photo)

Richard Castaldo, the 2018 Libertarian candidate for Oklahoma’s second congressional district

Richard Castaldo, the Libertarian candidate for Oklahoma’s second congressional district, was featured in the Muskogee Phoenix on Oct. 16, along with Democrat Jason Nichols and independent John Foreman, the two other challengers to incumbent Markwayne Mullin, a Republican.… Read more ...

LP.org: Gender self-determination is not government’s business

Posted at LP.org:

Sexual orientation, preference, gender, or gender identity should have no impact on the government’s treatment of individuals, such as in current marriage, child custody, adoption, immigration or military service laws.

President Donald Trump’s administration is taking aim at transgender Americans. According to a leaked draft memo released by the New York Times, the Department of Health and Human Services is considering this redefinition: “Sex means a person’s status as male or female based on immutable biological traits identifiable by or before birth.” There are many things wrong with this definition, but chief among them is that it’s scientifically incorrect.… Read more ...

LP.org: Introducing Sid Daoud

Posted at LP.org:

Dear Libertarian,

Allow me a few minutes to tell you about one of our best shots at winning a state house seat this year:

Sid Daoud is running for Montana State House, District 8.

  • This is a two-way race between Sid and a Republican.
  • There is no incumbent.
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LP.org: ‘Washington Times: Libertarians poll high enough to tip key races’

Posted at LP.org:

The Washington Times

The Washington Times ran a news story on this election cycle’s notable increase in polling results among Libertarian candidates. From the Oct. 21 article, “Libertarians poll high enough to tip key races,” by Seth McLaughlin:

Rick Breckenridge has the chance to play a significant role in Montana’s senatorial election….… Read more ...