From the Arkansas New Bureau:
The poll of 793 likely Arkansas voters, conducted Saturday through automated phone calls, found that 57 percent said they would vote for Republican U.S. Senate candidate Boozman and 32 percent for Democratic incumbent Lincoln if the election were today.
Another 3 percent said they would vote for independent candidate Trevor Drown and 2 percent said they would vote for Green Party candidate John Gray, with the remaining 6 percent undecided.
With such a negative showing for the incumbent, Lincoln’s campaign then released their own numbers, showing Boozman (R) 45%, Lincoln (D) 36%, Drown (I) 6%.
However, one must note that the Green candidate, Mayor John Gray of Greenland, is not included in the poll. This could overstate Lincoln’s support by excluding a more liberal candidate from the poll. And of course, it is internal polling, so massive hunks of salt are required.
Another Republican pollster recently released their own polling, showing “other candidates” at 4.2%. Neither Drown nor Gray is mentioned by name.
In other news, Jason Tolbert has this article up giving an excellent tour of third party activities in Arkansas lately with particular notice put upon the Senate race. He writes
The Tea Party movement provides the conservative independent candidates a chance to have a voice where in the past their candidacy would largely go unnoticed. It will force Republicans to pay attention to these upset conservative voters for risk of aliening them and driving their votes to independent candidates. At the same time, Gray has the opportunity to tap into the unrest that Bill Halter tapped into from liberal voters unhappy with Sen. Lincoln.