From the Texas Tribune:
Republican Gov. Rick Perry leads his Democratic challenger, Bill White, by 6 percentage points — 39 percent to 33 percent — in the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll. Libertarian Kathie Glass has the support of 5 percent of the Texans in the survey; Green Party candidate Deb Shafto gets 1 percent. And 22 percent of respondents — more than one in five Texans — say they’re undecided about which candidate to support with only seven weeks to go in the fall campaign.
One major reason for this poll was to determine the eligibility of the minor party candidates for participation in an upcoming televised gubernatorial debate hosted by major newspapers throughout the state. The threshold for participation is 10%, zo it appears that neither Shafto nor Glass qualified. However, with Rick Perry refusing to debate and legal issues surrounding a one candidate debate, Glass may just be strong enough to serve as a substittute. Other downballot statewide races were also polled.
• Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst is leading Linda Chavez-Thompson 41 percent to 26 percent. Libertarian Scott Jameson has the support of 5 percent, and the Green Party’s Herb Gonzales Jr. has 1 percent. Undecided respondents account for 27 percent.
• In the only open seat on the statewide ballot, Republican David Porter leads Democrat Jeff Weems 33 percent to 25 percent, with Libertarian Roger Gary the favorite of 6 percent and Art Browning of the Green Party attracting 2 percent. Undecided voters make up 34 percent of the total.
The strongest Green Party performance is in the open Railroad Commissioners Contest with 2%. For the Libertarians, their strongest numbers are found in the Agriculture Commissioner’s race with 8%. It appears that when a Green candidate is in the race, the Libertarians exhibit a slight drop in support.
In addition, it appears that the Libertarians are stronger down-ballot than in the gubernatorial race. This is not surprising; even though Glass has run the most visible campaign of any statewide Libertarian candidate this cycle, White and Perry locked in a competitive race. This causes voters to fear “wasting” their vote on Glass at the expense of letting a less-preferred candidate win the race. These are the strongest numbers the Texas LP has ever received in a statewide race with both Republican and Democrat opponents.