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Published on the Constitution Party of Idaho’s website on July 25th, 2016 (via Cody Quirk at ATPR)
The Federalist put up an article on June 8, citing former New Jersey Governor Christine Todd Whitman. She has “never seen such a confluence of auspicious opportunity” for an independent presidential candidate.
Whitman is a board member of an organization called Better For America (BFA), which is, according to The Federalist- “dedicated to offering a viable independent candidate for president”.
BFA obtained ballot access in New Mexico, and claims that they will be on 25 state ballots by August 1st…a matter of days from now. If so, BFA (a brand new organization) will have bested the national Constitution Party which has been in political operation for 20 years. That does not speak well of the national Constitution Party.
Evidently, BFA will announce its candidate after the Democrat Convention in Cleveland is over. Who that may be is unknown. To what extent the BFA announcement will change overall polling, is also unknown. That said, the Libertarians at least have a vision (i.e. gaining ballot access in all 50 states for the first time in its 40 year history). They are going to be the beneficiaries, most likely.
Gallup polls claim that one in four Americans dislike both duopoly candidates. Some indication suggests that electorate movement is toward Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate. For example, Johnson is holding at an 8.5% polling support (in a four way race which includes the Green Party). And a recent poll suggests that Johnson is besting both Trump and Clinton among our nation’s active troops
In any case, if Johnson can increase his bona fides to 15%, which may happen naturally on its own, Libertarians would earn outright a crucial spot in the presidential debates. Both the Greens and Libertarians filed suit last fall against the Commission on Presidential Debates imposing the 15% debate threshold, basing their case on anti-trust grounds. The case is still alive, and a ruling is due soon. If the 15% threshold is overturned, that would release a tsunami of public interest simply by having a fairer national debate in the “rigged system”.
Strangely, a recent poll (Salt Lake Tribune) from Utah suggests Johnson—polling within 3% of Trump and 2% of Clinton—could feasibly win the Beehive State should conditions deteriorate for the duopoly candidates. Go figure.
Utah, of course, is where the current Constitution Party national chairman has coagulated this party’s internal offices and functions. Without a peep in the polls regarding the national Constitution Party’s presidential play, should the Libertarians win Utah, that would doubtlessly be the final coffin nail on the current Constitution Party’s leadership, so-called.
As for the “auspicious confluence” all we can say is that the Constitution Party landscape is parched bone dry. “Not a drop to drink,” as Samuel Coleridge put it. “Instead of the Cross, the Albatross about the neck was hung.”