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California’s (top) two only law may be responsible for sharpest drop in voter turnout of any state

Ballot Access News:

Political Science Professor Michael McDonald has a webpage that posts turnout data for each state. McDonald determines the number of ballots cast in each state, and divides that by the voting-eligible population. “Voting-eligible population” means not only the number of registered voters, but the number of people who could register if they chose to. The webpage shows turnout for all recent congressional and presidential elections. To see the 2014 data, see here. To see the 2010 data, see here.

When one compares 2014 to 2010, one sees that California easily had the [sharpest] drop in turnout of any state. The 2010 California percentage turnout was 45.8%, and the 2014 California turnout was 30.0%. Comparing those percentages shows that the 2014 percentage was only .672% of the 2010 percentage. No other state had a ratio lower than .70%. For the nation as a whole, the 2014 percentage was .878% of the 2010 percentage.

One likely reason that California’s turnout in 2014 slipped so badly relative to 2010 is that in November 2010, voters were given a choice of six parties for the statewide offices, whereas in November 2014 California was the only state in which it was impossible for anyone to vote in any statewide race unless that voter voted for a Republican or a Democrat. In November 2010, over 10% of the voters had voted for a minor party candidate for Lieutenant Governor or Insurance Commissioner.

2 Comments

  1. paulie February 21, 2015

    Thank you as always for the source material!

  2. Richard Winger February 21, 2015

    Thanks for posting this, and also for catching my word usage error, which I have now fixed in my post at BAN.

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