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Update: What percentage of voters can vote for what percentage of candidates?

IPR previously reported that Ralph Nader would be an option on the ballot for 85.2% of voters and Cynthia McKinney will be on the ballot before 70.5% of voters. Now, because of a series of updates at Ballot Access News, we can bring you a more complete picture of national ballot access. These numbers are based on voter turnout in the 2004 election, meaning that they will differ from the actual percentages. However, this is the closest estimate available.

Chuck Baldwin will be on the ballot “in states that cast 59.8% of the presidential vote in 2004.” Unfortunately, this is down from 66.4% for the Constitution Party nominee in 2004.

Alan Keyes, the America’s Independent Party nominee for president, will be an option for 18.1% of voters even though he’s only on the ballot in three states. Those states include some very heavily populated ones – they are California, Florida, and Colorado.

The Party for Socialism and Liberation‘s candidate, Gloria La Riva, will be in front of 26.8% of voters, on twelve different state ballots. She is the party’s first presidential nominee.

The Prohibition Party is doing the best it has done since 1976. Their presidential nominee Gene Amondson will be on the ballot before 9.6% of voters.

Other candidates:

Socialist Workers (Roger Calero): Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Vermont, and Washington.

Socialist (Brian Moore): Colorado, Florida, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Vermont, and Wisconsin.

The Boston Tea Party’s presidential candidate (Charles Jay) is on the ballot in Colorado, Florida, and Tennessee.

Ron Paul is on the ballot in Louisiana (Louisiana Taxpayers) and Montana (Constitution).

The Objectivist Party (Thomas Stevens) is now on in Colorado and Florida.


  1. Jeremy Young Jeremy Young October 2, 2008

    What about Barr? I know some states are still up in the air, but how close is he to matching Nader’s numbers this year?

  2. AnthonyD AnthonyD October 2, 2008

    Barr’s gotta be higher than Nader, as Nader is not on the ballot in Texas.

  3. JimDavidson JimDavidson October 2, 2008

    There are a number of states which do not require pre-election registration for write-in candidates. So, if voters wish to write-in a particular candidate, they can do so in
    Alabama, Delaware, Iowa, New Hampshire, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Wyoming.

    Voters can vote for many of these candidates by writing them in, even though they are not on the ballot. Obviously, they are unlikely to do so, and such votes are more likely to be disregarded by the corrupt vote tallying system, but a much larger percentage of voters “can vote for” these candidates if you accept write-in votes as a valid method.

    Some candidates have been pursuing write-in registrations in states where they are required, such as Charles Jay in Montana and Arizona (and elsewhere, he tells me, today) so, again, the picture here is incomplete.

  4. Catholic Trotskyist Catholic Trotskyist October 2, 2008

    None of that matters. What really matters is that our Catholic Apistolic General Joseph Biden utterly crushed the trogledyte Sarah Palin in their epic battle of wits known as the debate. The Catholic Trotskyist Party of America gives all thanks and praise to the Lord God of hosts, who strengthened our mascot Joe Biden to deliver such a stunning and crushing blow to the Republican Party. Amen.

  5. Austin Cassidy Austin Cassidy October 3, 2008

    Looks like 4 very interesting contests unfolding for election night. I can’t wait to see how these turn out…

    Third place – Nader or Barr? (My gut says Nader with Barr close behind)

    Fifth place – Baldwin or McKinney? (I’d have said McKinney, but the Paul endorsement changes things)

    Better showing – Ron Paul or Alan Keyes? (Keyes has California, but Paul has rabid fans in Louisiana and Montana)

    The battle of the Socialists. Who will come out on top? I have no clue.

  6. Trent Hill Trent Hill October 3, 2008


    And thats just the Presidential race! We have other exciting races like Robert Owens, Anthony Pollina, Michael Jackson, David Krikorian, etc.

  7. Jeremy Young Jeremy Young October 3, 2008

    …and Dean Barkley, who just polled 19% in the latest SUSA poll of the MN senate race.

  8. Trent Hill Trent Hill October 3, 2008

    I keep forgetting him. Him too.

  9. Jeremy Young Jeremy Young October 3, 2008

    I’d say Barkley has the best chance of any third party candidate of winning a federal or gubernatorial seat in this election.

    I used to think it was Pollina, but he’s made some bad decisions and the Dems really screwed him over by throwing Gaye Symington into the race against him.

  10. Trent Hill Trent Hill October 3, 2008

    Pollina had the best chance before the Democrats found a decent candidate.

    As for Barkley…I’d probably agree with your surmission.

  11. svf svf October 3, 2008

    Bueller? Barr? Bueller?

  12. Ross Levin Ross Levin Post author | October 3, 2008

    If you can find numbers for Barr, tell me about it.

  13. paulie cannoli paulie cannoli October 3, 2008

    Not known yet, as he is still suing several states. But probably over 90%

  14. JimDavidson JimDavidson October 6, 2008

    Our current tally, including Utah write-in registration just filed with Marilyn Chambers for vice, comes to 141 electoral votes.

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