The Council on American-Islamic Relations released the results of a survey on Friday showing that Democratic nominee Kamala Harris and Green Party nominee Dr. Jill Stein are virtually tied as the top presidential choice among Muslim voters.
CAIR, a Muslim civil rights and advocacy organization based in Washington, D.C., published the results last week in collaboration with Molitical Consulting LLC. According to the report’s methodology, the survey targeted a stratified random sample of 40,000 registered Muslim voters via text from August 25 to August 27, with 1,478 responses received, of which 1,076 were matched to a national voter file. The data claims a margin of error of 0.10%.
The results reveal that 29.4% of American Muslims responding to the survey plan to support Democratic Party nominee Kamala Harris, while a very close 29.1% intend to back Green Party nominee Jill Stein. Republican Donald Trump earns the support of 11.2% of respondents, followed by 4.2% for independent candidate Dr. Cornel West and 0.8% for Libertarian nominee Chase Oliver. Another 8.8% of respondents do not intend to vote, and the remaining 16.5% are undecided.
These numbers represent a significant shift from an earlier poll conducted by CAIR before President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the Democratic primaries, where third party and independent candidates were the combined preference of a majority of respondents. In that survey, which was never publicly released, Stein was the first choice of 36% of respondents, followed by 25.2% for West, 7.3% for then-candidate Biden, 5.7% for since-suspended independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 4.9% for Trump. No additional candidates were included in the earlier survey, although another 12.6% expressed support for the “Other” option and 7.9% chose not to answer the question.
When examining the demographic data from the most recent survey broken down by age, Harris performs strongest among Muslim voters aged 18 to 29 (42%), 40 to 49 (32%), and 50 to 64 years old (34%). Meanwhile, Stein leads among voters aged 30 to 39 (35%) and those over 65 years of age (34%). Demographic data by age from the first survey is not yet available, so it’s unclear how much of a shift occurred within specific categories.
No other candidate exceeds 20% support in any age category, except for the 38% of voters aged 18 to 29 who remain undecided—also the largest group of undecided voters across all ages in the survey. Trump comes closest with 17% support among Muslim voters aged 40 to 49. CAIR has said it will release additional survey data in the coming week.
As previously commented by Jeff Davidson: “I did a Google search for molitico and for molitico polling – no results besides this article or stuff about this article. I have no idea who they are.”
I did a whole bunch of different searches using quite a few search engines, and indeed turned up very little beyond IPR’s articles, the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee survey, source and others reporting on that same poll. But what I did find was very . . . “enlightening”.
One could easily be forgiven for thinking that it was a typo for “Politico”, but it isn’t.
“Molitico” seems to be a deliberately shadowy Shi’ite “analysis firm” – if they can be called that – which exists entirely for the purposes of misrepresenting Sunnites in general and Arabs in particular as being uniformly pro-“Palestinian” and anti-Israel, of fomenting hatred against Jews in America, and of spreading antisemitic conspiracy theories about how Zionists run the US and all that rot.
As a result, I would be extremely skeptical of any survey that Molitico had anything to do with.