Wayne Root updates his election predictions, expects bigger gains for Republicans than he did before

Email from Wayne Root to contact.ipr@gmail.com:

Obama Unhinged: Leftist Anger, Bitterness and Mental Breakdown Leads to Historic Landslide Defeat.

Las Vegas Oddsmaker Now Sees 60 to 70 Seat GOP Victory and Major Independent Gains too.

By Wayne Allyn Root, Best-Selling Author and 2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential Nominee

Think Reagan vs. Carter in 1980. The Presidential race was dead even until days to go. At the last moment, common sense mainstream American voters all broke the same way, at the same time, to the same place- Reagan. It’s happening before our eyes again this Tuesday. American mainstream voters are abandoning Obama, big government, tax and spend, and any hint of socialism. The landslide will be bigger than anyone- including me- realized even days ago.

As a Las Vegas Oddsmaker-turned-Vice Presidential nominee, I predicted a historic 50 to 60 seat GOP House victory only a week ago. But that was before Obama unhinged in front of the country. That was before Obama lowered the office of the President by appearing as a guest on the Jon Stewart Show, where the Commander-in-Chief was called “dude” by a comedian. That was before our leader called the lame job done by his failed economic advisor Larry Summers “a heck of a job.” That was before Obama lowered himself by arguing with protestors at a Democratic rally. That was before Obama appeared on Univision (Hispanic TV) to call mainstream voters who disagree with illegal immigration “enemies.” That was before he gave divisive speeches across the country telling Republicans to “ride in the back.” That was before ABC’s “The View” host Joy Behar called Nevada Tea Party Senate candidate Sharron Angle a “bitch” on national TV and compared her commercials about illegal immigration to Nazi propaganda films. And let’s not forget the high-profile NPR (National Public Radio) controversy of days ago- the disgraceful firing of commentator Juan Williams for exercising his free speech and speaking honestly and fairly about an issue that I’ll bet 80% of Americans agree on.

The left is coming unhinged. It’s a meltdown on the biggest stage in the world. Obama and his cronies appear angry, bitter, and unstable. They sound-to be blunt- nutty. And mainstream American voters are turned off and FRIGHTENED by this leftist mental breakdown.

Mainstream American voters hate “radical, extreme and dangerous.” Ironically those are the three powerful words Democrats tried to tie to the Tea Party candidates. Yet it’s Obama and Democrats who appear radical, extreme and dangerous in the closing days of this campaign.

The result? I now predict historic GOP and independent voting gains. Instead of a 50 to 60 seat shift in the House, I now predict a 60 to 70 seat GOP gain as within reach. Yes, SEVENTY. And I see independent candidates across the country gaining as well. Libertarian Party and other independent candidates will see the highest vote totals in half a century. In particular, Libertarian vote totals in Ohio and Indiana should break all-time records. Tom, Tancredo could be the next Governor of Colorado as an independent. In other words, voters are turning to anyone, but Obama and the Democratic Party.

Once and for all, big government expansion, tax and spend, and socialism will be repudiated by the American people. The massive landslide on Tuesday will “shock and awe” the pundits, media know-it-alls, and Beltway insiders.

Wayne Allyn Root, is the author of the new paperback, “The Conscience of a Libertarian: Empowering the Citizen Revolution with God, Guns, Gold, and Tax Cuts.” He is a Las Vegas oddsmaker turned Vice Presidential nominee. Root is available to the media to provide pre and post election analysis, discussion and debate. His website is: ROOTforAmerica.com.


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33 thoughts on “Wayne Root updates his election predictions, expects bigger gains for Republicans than he did before

  1. wolfefan

    Interesting to me that Wayne still hedges his bets. The article and the sub-head say two different things, so Wayne is right either way. If the GOP gains, say, 67 seats Wayne can point to the subhead and say “I called it!” If the GOP gains 55 seats, Wayne can point to the body of the article itself and say he only thought 60-70 was “within reach” and claim he was right based on his earlier prediction.

    That independent/smaller party votes will go up really isn’t much of a prediction either, since Crist, Chaffee and Tancredo are all running as independent/small party candidates. The more difficult question is how well such candidates aside from those three do. I think Wayne’s correct about Ohio and Indiana and look forward to seeing if he is right.

    If Wayne is right about GOP gains, I don’t see how that helps the LP. Tea-party and libertarian/conservative types will think they have found a successful (for now) electoral outlet in the GOP. It seems to me that it’s only if they don’t think they can achieve their goals through the GOP that they might turn to the LP.

  2. paulie Post author

    It seems to me that it’s only if they don’t think they can achieve their goals through the GOP that they might turn to the LP.

    Some will. Recall that the failure of the 1994 “Republican revolution” led some disappointed people that fell for that one at first into the LP later.

    Most, though, will just focus on getting Obama out.

  3. AroundtheblockAFT

    Seventy would be nice, but hasn’t gerrymandering made many Democrats invulnerable (I’m looking at you Nancy)?

    What should be important to the LP is to get involved in the Tea Party groups and be prepared to say “I told you so” if and when the
    GOP reverts back to its “compassionate conservative” spending ways, war-mongering,
    and meddling in one’s personal affairs.

    If the GOP screws up, the LP can grow big time if it is prepared. If the GOP reforms, then it may be time to re-examine the LP model. Nolan
    may wish to revisit his 1971 “case for a Libertarian Party” to see how much of it, in whole or part, is vindicated 40 years later.
    The Nov.2nd results need to be thoroughly and
    openly discussed, debated and reconciled to the LP’s mission and strategy. We can start right here at IPR and request our LNC reps participate. The upcoming LNC meeting should have a lot of soul-searching in addition to 2011 budget crunching.

  4. Thomas L. Knapp

    Paulie@2,

    I predict that the GOP will default on its “smaller government” promises a lot faster this time than they did after 1994.

    That time, it was late 1995/early 1996 before it became obvious to the average American that Republicans are lying sacks of shit.

    This time, I suspect that point will be reached in about mid-January of 2011.

  5. Darryl W. Perry

    Hopefully, the GOP under a Obama will “balance the budget” similar to what happened in the 90’s under Clinton – though I’m afraid it will be more like the giant spending spree that was seen the first 6 years GWB.

  6. Robert Capozzi

    tk, dunno. It might be easy — even for the Rs and Ds — to claim “smaller government”, if only because stimulus spiked spending these last 2 years. Core spending could increase, yet one-off stimulus could not recur, leading to a nominal decline. The deficit is so massive, even they might take a pause. It’s possible’s all I’m saying.

    Of course, it wouldn’t be saying much.

  7. Thomas L. Knapp

    Bob,

    The Republican leadership started putting out “we’ll govern to the center, not the right” feelers last week.

    This is not the 1990s.

    In the 1990s, the US was a superpower with its only major rival laying prostrate at its feet. There was some chance that the “peace dividend” would be paid, and there was even a little bit of Old Right-style non-intervention impulse remaining in the GOP. All that’s left of that impulse today is Ron Paul.

    Today, the US is a banana republic “national security state,” the “defense” contractors’ gravy trains are running on time and fully loaded, and the politicians want to keep it that way. The Republicans will give Obama anything he wants — perhaps with some vocal protests for show — as long as the too-large-to-be-reasonable-by-a-full-order-of-magnitude “defense” budget is held sacred and open to modification only in an upward direction.

    The Fed’s leaders are returning to the scene of the original crime on Wednesday to figure out how they can suck the last drop of blood out of the American economy (and maybe to make provisions for their own escapes). The good news is that a year from now you may not have to send to Zimbabwe to get a $500 billion note. They may be printing them right there in Washington.

  8. Root Is a Hypocritical Gasbag

    Root: “Obama lowered the office of the President by appearing as a guest on the Jon Stewart Show, where the Commander-in-Chief was called “dude” by a comedian.”

    Is there a show that Root wouldn’t appear on if asked?

    Root sticks his gloating, staring, unhinged face before any camera that will have him.

    If Obama should avoid certain shows to avoid “lowering” his office, then shouldn’t Root, as a VP/Presidential candidate also have avoided many of the shows he’s appeared on?

    Hypocrite.

  9. paulie Post author

    by Jim Babka, President, DownsizeDC.org

    Quote of the Day: “If elections really changed things they would be illegal.” — Emma Goldman

    I will start with a confession . . .

    * I cheered in 2006 and 2008 when the voters body-slammed the Republicans
    * And I will cheer again next week when the Democrats too get slammed

    Both the Republicans and the Democrats have thoroughly deserved their repudiations. I think our political parties are so bad that it’s almost always appropriate for incumbents to lose, and for the majority party to revert to minority status. But that doesn’t mean that such changes really improve things.

    Did things improve in 2008 when Obama’s Democrats gained control? I think the answer is no. Obama has continued, or worsened, nearly all of Bush’s policies, and with the Democratic Congress has managed to outspend the profligate Republicans. Should we really expect the Republicans to be different this time?

    If you hold out hope, prepare to have it crushed, starting here . . .

    Read more

    http://libertymaven.com/2010/11/01/what-will-the-election-change/10856/#more-10856

  10. Aaron Starr

    @9

    Is there a show that Root wouldn’t appear on if asked?

    Root sticks his gloating, staring, unhinged face before any camera that will have him.

    If Obama should avoid certain shows to avoid “lowering” his office, then shouldn’t Root, as a VP/Presidential candidate also have avoided many of the shows he’s appeared on?

    Hypocrite.

    TS, it’s a different fact pattern.

    You could make a better case if Wayne actually were the President. Once one holds the office, there are some who believe there is a certain level of gravitas associated with the position.

    Personally, I don’t believe Obama lowered his office as a result of his appearance, as I already possess a very low opinion of the current occupant — and most previous ones, for that matter.

  11. Darryl W. Perry

    The only President in my lifetime that I “liked” was Reagan… and that was likely because I was 10 when he left office… I’ve since changed my mind about him.

  12. paulie Post author

    I was young enough at the time to actually like Jimmy Carter (that is, I was eight). I still agree with Ivan Eland that he was among the less damaging of the recent presidents, and my presidential ranking probably wouldn’t stray too far from Eland’s in general.

    See:

    https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2009/02/libertarian-party-blog-book-review-recarving-rushmore/

    https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2009/09/lp-monday-message-reagan-not-serious-about-cutting-government-says-redpath/

    https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2009/12/bill-redpath-don%E2%80%99t-waste-your-vote-vote-democratic/

  13. Darryl W. Perry

    If we’re going to list President’s before our lifetime o be impressed with, I list W.H. Harrison – he died after 30 days… if only all of them would follow his lead…..

  14. Michael H. Wilson

    These were the head dudes under The Articles of Confederation. I’m sure good men all.

    * Samuel Huntington (March 1, 1781– July 9, 1781)
    * Thomas McKean (July 10, 1781–November 4, 1781)
    * John Hanson (November 5, 1781– November 3, 1782)
    * Elias Boudinot (November 4, 1782– November 2, 1783)
    * Thomas Mifflin (November 3, 1783– October 31, 1784)
    * Richard Henry Lee (November 30, 1784– November 6, 1785)
    * John Hancock (November 23, 1785– May 29, 1786)
    * Nathaniel Gorham (June 6, 1786– November 5, 1786)
    * Arthur St. Clair (February 2, 1787– November 4, 1787)
    * Cyrus Griffin (January 22, 1788– November 2, 1788)

  15. Root Is a Hypocritical Gasbag

    “If Obama should avoid certain shows to avoid ‘lowering’ his office, then shouldn’t Root, as a VP/Presidential candidate also have avoided many of the shows he’s appeared on?”

    Starr: “different fact pattern.”

    No, not in any relevant way.

    Root is a vp/presidential candidate. A presidential candidate is obligated to look presidential.

    Root suggests that it’s “unpresidential” for Obama to appear on certain shows. If so, then by Root’s own standards, it’s unpresidential for him to appear on many of the shows he’s been on.

    Root is a hypocrite. There’s no consistency in anything he says (ever), apart from (1) I’m so great! and (2) Obama is Satan!

    Root’s supporters liken Root to the Energizer Bunny. He is, but that’s not all good.

    Just like the Energizer Bunny, Root keeps plodding brainlessly forward, banging mindlessly on his latest talking points, without any thought to consistency or honesty.

  16. Michael H. Wilson

    One point Root and anyone who can in front of a microphone should be hammering away at is the overseas deployment of U.S.

    It is costing us about $250-$300 billion annually which is about $800 for everyone of us. So that is roughly $3200 for a family of four just to subsidize our economic competition. Just think of it as paying the electric bill of the guy down the street who is competing against you in sales.

  17. Aaron Starr

    @19

    TS,

    Through non-stop, relentless effort Wayne Root has become the de facto media spokesperson of the party.

    Others could have done so – and still could do so – but for whatever reason choose not to.

    It’s my opinion that Wayne Root is good for us; you disagree.

  18. The U.S. Is NOT Defending Other Nations

    “It is costing us about $250-$300 billion annually which is about $800 for everyone of us. So that is roughly $3200 for a family of four just to subsidize our economic competition.”

    The U.S. is not “subsidizing” Europe or Japan or any Arab nation in which we have troops deployed.

    The U.S. does not station troops in Saudi Arabia to protect the Saudis — but to keep a gun on their heads in case they get uppity.

    This is why Israel refuses U.S. military bases in Israel. It doesn’t want a U.S. gun pointed at its head — it only wants U.S. money.

    As for U.S. troops in Europe or Japan, they’re there to maintain the supply lines of the U.S. overseas Empire. (Originally, they were to keep Germany and Japan from growing strong after WW2, and to keep the Soviets in line.)

    U.S. troops do not “defend our allies.” U.S. troops are stationed overseas so that the U.S. government can “project American power” (to quote the neocons) anywhere in the world, at any time.

    The U.S. is not “subsidizing our economic competition.” The U.S. is forceably keeping them in line.

    Some “libertarians” say that Europe and Japan and the Arabs should “pay for their own defense.”

    Do they mean that the U.S. should close all overseas bases, and these nations should be free to buy nukes, and any other weapons, with their own money? Or do they mean that the U.S. should keep U.S. troops in those nations, and extract imperial tribute for their upkeep?

    The first is libertarianism; the latter is imperialism. Do not confuse the two.

  19. Thomas L. Knapp

    “Through non-stop, relentless effort Wayne Root has become the de facto media spokesperson of the party.”

    I don’t often make a point of publicly agreeing with Aaron Starr, but he is absolutely, positively, 100% correct on this point.

  20. Status Quo Subject to Change

    “Through non-stop, relentless effort Wayne Root has become the de facto media spokesperson of the party.”

    Even if that’s true today, it needn’t be true tomorrow.

    Root’s “de facto” status is certainly not holy writ or chiseled in stone.

    I’m sure Root’s supporters would like to call “time out” and have Root’s “de facto” status freeze as of this moment.

    Happily, many of Root’s detractors have no intention of maintaining the status quo. A status quo can change, and in politics, they often do so, and quickly.

  21. Robert Capozzi

    tk8, I don’t disagree. I think you missed my point. The stimulus was a massive spike in spending. Unless they make stimulus the permanent base, it will be difficult to top the current spending levels in the next 2 years. Accounting gimmicks and a reframing of the words is what pols do, after all.

    I also agree that the 90s were a ripe time for real reductions vs. the slowdown in the relative rate of change we experienced. Unfortunately, the opportunity for a change in direction was squandered.

    Now, if you’re saying that Obama and a divided Congress could lead to more dysfunctional outcomes than the one-party rule of the last 2 years, sure, that’s possible. Geopolitical events could careen out of control, for ex. GDP could grow a bit, which may seem to take the pressure off the deficit.

    I’ve seen no evidence that even Congress completely disregards the deficit and debt. I HAVE seen evidence that they will increase the deficit within some limits, and they will — as they have in the last 2 years — expand those limits dramatically. All indications are that both the Rs and Ds are incrementalists, with the increments being away from liberty. And, yes, the 2 parties logroll each other.

    Of course, we could be in the end times, and the wizard of ozington is just putting on a show for our amusement while we all drive off a cliff.

    “…from the ashes we can build another day.”
    – Moody Blues

  22. paulie Post author

    “Through non-stop, relentless effort Wayne Root has become the de facto media spokesperson of the party.”

    I don’t often make a point of publicly agreeing with Aaron Starr, but he is absolutely, positively, 100% correct on this point.

    Whenever Tom Knapp and Aaron Starr agree, the chances are very good that they are correct. This is no exception.

  23. paulie Post author

    Happily, many of Root’s detractors have no intention of maintaining the status quo.

    Are they doing anything to change it? Nipping at Wayne’s heels does not count.

  24. paulie Post author

    Unless they make stimulus the permanent base

    It’s more likely that they will go for more, bigger, faster and harder stimulus.

  25. Robert Capozzi

    pc, yes, that’s Krugman’s view. At the moment, I believe that’s unlikely, but that could change. If another big economic shoe drops, for ex., the propensity for a massive command-and-control move becomes likely.

  26. Robert Capozzi

    pc, sure, I agree. There will always be big economic shoes dropping. They come in what appear to be cycles.

    What I think we’re talking about here is a near-term one that would set the economy back like the meltdown of the past 2 years or so. If the next “big” shoe dropping is in the next year or so, that’s one thing. If in, say, 5 years, it’s another.

    I’m sure I don’t know. Worrying about it, stressing out about it, playing chicken little about it…contra-indicated, IMO. The sun is highly likely to set tonight and rise tomorrow…otherwise, que sera.

  27. paulie Post author

    I don’t know either, but I strongly suspect it will come during this upcoming congressional term, if not earlier.

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