Wayne Root’s election predictions

Posted at Root for America:

ROOT Election Predictions–Reading the “Tea Leaves:” Obama Goes from Messiah to Pariah.

Democrat Candidates Learn What Happens When you Blindly Follow a Socialist Off a Cliff…

Signs of the Historic Tea Party Landslide on Nov 2nd

I’m not just a former Vice Presidential nominee, I’m also a Las Vegas oddsmaker, who analyzes political elections just as I analyze sporting events. On CNBC in the Fall of 2004, I predicted the exact final margin of Bush’s Presidential victory beating almost every political pollster in the country. In the Fall of 2006 on FOX News, I predicted the GOP would lose control of Congress, when other experts, pollsters and pundits had serious doubts. And of course I had it right on the money in 2008 when at campaign events I said, “Voting for McCain is voting for four more years of Bush. A terrible thing. But voting for Obama is voting for four years of Karl Marx. He will destroy the U.S. economy, redistribute income, and devastate capitalism.” A very accurate prediction of what has happened under the Obama agenda.

My crystal ball has been working overtime this Fall:

* My prediction is a Tea Party revolution of epic proportions.

* I predict the GOP will take control of the House in a historic landslide of 50 to 60 seats.

* Unlike most pollsters, I believe the Senate is within GOP reach.

* The anger and disgust with the Obama agenda is so strong that I believe this landslide will take Harry Reid, the U.S. Senate Majority Leader with it. I predict Sharron Angle will become the next U.S. Senator of Nevada. That upset could hand the U.S. Senate to the GOP.

* My prediction is a GOP pickup of 8 to 10 Senate seats (10 being the number necessary for a GOP takeover). Tea Party Senate candidates will lead the way- Angle in Nevada, Rand Paul in Kentucky, Marco Rubio in Florida, Ken Buck in Colorado, Joe Miller in Alaska.

* Make no mistake about it. While the immediate beneficiary will be the GOP, this is not a GOP victory. It is a conservative/libertarian tsunami fueled by Tea Party activists. There is no love for Republicans. If the GOP legislators go to D.C. and carry on “business as usual”, such as voting for earmarks, they will be earmarked for defeat in 2012 just like Democrats this year.

* Obama will go down in the record books for the biggest and quickest turnaround in political history- from the MESSIAH who resurrected the Democratic Party…to the socialist PARIAH that destroyed the Democratic party in less than 2 years!

* The results on Nov 2nd will be historic and will leave the Obama agenda in ruins, exposing Obama as a one-term mistake.

* The Tea Party movement is here to stay. It will have an even bigger impact in 2012.

* My final prediction is that Obama will be challenged by members of his own party in a Democratic Presidential primary in 2012. I think there is a good chance that Obama may never again run in a general election for President of the United States.

Do you think I’m being too optimistic about the Tea Party landslide? Perhaps you haven’t read the “Tea Leaves.” Here are my five signs of how clean the sweep will be:

1. The Democratic candidate for Governor of Rhode Island (the bluest of blue states) just told Obama to “shove your endorsement.” Guess what? It isn’t Tea Partiers that are the angry ones. It is Democrat candidates who now realize that Obama has killed their careers. Anger and desperation have set in. They now realize that they’ve foolishly followed a socialist…off a cliff.

2. A Mississippi Democratic Congressman just announced yesterday that he voted for McCain for President. Now this announcement tops them all! Obama is such a millstone around the necks of Democratic Congressman that the only way to save their jobs is to announce they didn’t vote for their own party’s sitting President. It’s all over for this Democratic Congress.

3. It is now reported that Harry Reid is offering Starbucks gift cards to teachers union members in order to get them to vote. Usually the Democrat Party scam only involves cash for drunks and homeless people on the Vegas Strip. Things are so desperate for Democrats now that the U.S. Senate Majority Leader has to bribe teachers for votes. Goodbye Harry.

4. Obama is so desperate about the reality of the repudiation of his entire agenda, that he is showing his anger with offensive, racist language. Did you hear what our President said just this weekend to a crowd of supporters? He said “We don’t mind the Republicans joining us. They can come for the ride, but they gotta sit in back.” Can you imagine the media uproar if a white Tea Party politician had told Democrats they have to “sit in the back”? On Univision yesterday, Obama even called American voters who oppose illegal immigration “enemies” of Hispanics. The President sounds awful angry to me- like a man who knows his political career is in ruins.

5. And finally the biggest sign of all of the impending doom for Democrats: HILLARY IS LEAVING THE COUNTRY. That’s right- our Secretary of State just happens to be jetting off to the South Pacific for two weeks starting today. She’ll just happen to be in New Zealand while Democrats are losing the biggest landslide in modern history.

“From messiah to pariah” in less than two years. On November 2nd the American people will reject socialism once and for all.
And we’ll all learn the most important lesson of all:
When your neighbor loses his job, that’s a recession…
When you lose yours, that’s a depression…
When Obama, Pelosi and Reid lose theirs, that’s a RECOVERY.

Wayne Allyn Root, is the author of the new paperback, “The Conscience of a Libertarian: Empowering the Citizen Revolution with God, Guns, Gold, and Tax Cuts.” He is a Las Vegas oddsmaker turned Vice Presidential nominee. Root is available to the media to provide pre and post election analysis, discussion and debate. His website is: ROOTforAmerica.com.

68 thoughts on “Wayne Root’s election predictions

  1. Darryl W. Perry

    Here’s another way to list predictions, 90% (or more) of incumbents seeking re-election will retain “their” seats while 100% of seats in Congress will be won by members of the Republicratic Duopoly – this includes the “independent” Charlie Crist who many believe wil win in Florida.

  2. Steven R Linnabary

    One has to ask themselves why somebody who purports to be a “leader” of the LP is so exuberant about the prospect of republican gains.

    And I don’t see the connection to libertarian principles of candidates such as Joe Miller who recently extolled the virtues of the Berlin Wall or of Sharon Angle who has stated she wants to bring back prohibition of alcohol, in Nevada of all places!

    Leaders of the LP should be the first to recognize that Obama was swept into office mostly because of voters revulsion to Bush and the republicans mishandling of domestic and foreign affairs.

    And our leaders should be quick to point out that Obama has done nothing more than to be Bush’s third term.

    PEACE

  3. Darryl W. Perry

    @4 “One has to ask themselves why somebody who purports to be a “leader” of the LP is so exuberant about the prospect of republican gains.”

    Maybe because he’s a closet Republican / giant elephant in the “big tent” LP!?!?

  4. Aaron Starr

    @5

    Or maybe Wayne Root simply has an upbeat, optimistic personality. He is exuberant about just about everything life has to offer.

  5. paulie Post author

    Maybe because he’s a closet Republican / giant elephant in the “big tent”

    Not necessarily. I was happy about the Democrats winning control of Congress in 2006 because it served as a repudiation of Bush’s warmongering, just as I was happy in 1994 that the voters repudiated Clinton’s attempt to socialize medicine. In neither case was I under the delusion that either party was going to really make the changes they promised.

    I find the following interesting:

    Wayne says There is no love for Republicans. If the GOP legislators go to D.C. and carry on “business as usual”, such as voting for earmarks, they will be earmarked for defeat in 2012 just like Democrats this year.

    From past experience, we know that the Republicans will deliver more of the same, just as they did when they took control of Congress in 1995 and the White House in 2001.

    Wayne goes on to say

    The results on Nov 2nd will be historic and will leave the Obama agenda in ruins, exposing Obama as a one-term mistake.

    Again, past experience shows that a president can recover from a midterm loss, as for example Clinton did in 1995-6 or Reagan in 1983-4. Like Reagan and Clinton, Obama is a personable and skilled politician.

    What are the reasons to suppose that the same dynamic won’t play out again?

  6. Darryl W. Perry

    For me 99.99% of elections are like watching Notre Dame play Michigan in football – entertaining to watch, but I honestly don’t care who wins! Aaron, does that make me a “pessimist”? No, it makes me a realist!

  7. George Phillies

    Unfortunately for the Democrats, these are reasonably conservative predictions, though losing the Senate is going to be fairly difficult for them.

    The bad news for the Republicans is that they will have to try to cope with Senator Sharon Angle.

    The bright news for the Democrats is that if they fall a seat short the Republicans will offer Lieberman the chance to be President Pro Tem of the Senate, 4th in line for the Presidency, and the winning candidate of the Con-Lie party will accept the offer, thus improving the Democratic Party.

    Mind you, replacing one set of losers with another will do our country no good.

  8. Tony DiMare

    Is this the Wayne Root who used to run the scam telemarketing sports services and should have gone to jail?

  9. David F. Nolan

    I’m not a Las Vegas oddsmaker, and I do not portray one on television. I tend to agree with most of Wayne’s predictions, although I think the GOP landslide will be smaller than he he does: 50-55 additional seats in the House of Representatives and a total of 48-49 Senate seats. (The Nevada race will be a real nail-biter; there will be a LOT of irregularities, and maybe a recount.)

    Where I part company with Wayne is that I don’t think this shift will turn O-bummer into a “pariah.” People who hate him will continue to hate him; people who worship him may do so less fervently – but he will still be President, his party will still control the Senate, and what we will see is two years of gridlock. The Federal budget for FY 2013 will be higher than for FY 2011 (wanna bet against me on that, Wayne?)

    In summary, I think Dr. Phillies has it about right: replacing one set of losers with another will do our country no good.

  10. paulie Post author

    Basically, the Republicans will blame their inability to cut government or fix the economy on Obama being in the white house, although all spending has to originate in Congress. They will get the Tea Parties to act on behalf of a Republican campaign, probably Palin, never mind that the Republicans didn’t cut government with Bush and a Republican congress (quite the opposite), nor did they cut government with Palin, Romney or their other governors.

    Democrats in the meantime will have the Republican “obstructionists” in congress to blame for every problems, as well as the ghost of W, to rally their troops.

    What can break this up this dynamic?

  11. George Phillies

    And mentioning real losers, the Bush-Obama war against the people of Afghanistan has now reached such a state of failure that NATO has arranged for Russian forces to be re-introduced into the Afghan fighting under the guise of ‘anti-drug” warfare.

    That’s right, we’ve brought the Russians back into Afghanistan.

    The Afghani Student Party, the Taliban — may now justly say they are the patriots fighting against the same people who spent the decade of the 1980s wrecking their country.

    The policy is so stupid that even Mohammed Karzai, the unelected tyrant of modest parts of Afghanistan, a man who for considerable parts of his career had a bodyguard composed of American mercenaries because he could not trust his fellow Afghanis, has denounced the act. Mr. Karzai, whose function as the American Quisling is not to do anything to inconvenient, has previously recently embarrassed his sock puppeteers by revealing that he regularly receives sacks of unmarked bills from the Iranians.

  12. paulie Post author

    Maybe, except I’ve seen no indication that they would be willing to do that.

    Ron Paul already tried, as you of course know. He seems to think that he does better by running in the Republican primaries now. And he may be right – Pat Buchanan was well known for decades before 2000, did fairly well in some prior Republican primaries, was all over the media for decades, had served in different presidential administrations, has an 8-figure federal stipend for the campaign, and ran as the candidate of a party that had polled close to 10% in the previous presidential election and had a sitting Governor at the time. He still managed to tank as a third party candidate.

    But perhaps Ron Paul could hope to do as well as Ralph Nader in 2000, and get blamed for getting Obama elected again? It would probably mean the end of his career in Congress. Even if his district elects him as an independent, he probably wouldn’t see another committee assignment ever again. Sure, he’s old enough to retire, but he’s still spry and probably doesn’t want to.

    I suspect that if Ron Paul runs again it will be as a Republican.

    Gary Johnson has likewise indicated he will run as a Republican.

    And to get them to team up may be even more difficult even if they did both want to go independent – that would involve healing the Cato/Reason-vs-Rothbardian split that goes back, I think about what, 30 years now?

    Don’t get me wrong – I hope you are correct. Maybe something will change the dynamic this time.

  13. Thomas L. Knapp

    I predict a four-seat GOP pickup in the Senate, but won’t be surprised if it’s three or five.

    45-55 pickups in the House. I’ll be mildly surprised if it’s toward the top end of that.

    The main effect of the GOP taking the House and boosting its filibuster power in the Senate will be to ensure Obama’s re-election in 2012.

  14. paulie Post author

    That’s right, we’ve brought the Russians back into Afghanistan.

    Ah, the cycle is complete. Everything old is truly new again.

  15. David F. Nolan

    Tom @ 16 – The consensus among the number-crunchers is a GOP gain of 8 Senate Seats: ND, AR, IN, WI, PA, NV, IL and CO.

    As for the House, your estimate (gain of 45-55) overlaps Wayne ‘s (50-60) in the 5o-55 zone, which I think is the most likely outcome. We’ll know in about 76 hours.

  16. Aaron Starr

    @8

    For me 99.99% of elections are like watching Notre Dame play Michigan in football – entertaining to watch, but I honestly don’t care who wins! Aaron, does that make me a “pessimist”? No, it makes me a realist!

    Darryl, I don’t know you well enough to state whether you are a pessimist.

    I know Wayne Root well enough to know that he approaches most everything with a positive mental attitude. It seems to have worked well for him.

  17. wolfefan

    These predictions aren’t particularly bold or fearless; in terms of specific predictions for 2010 Wayne is pretty much Chalky McChalkington… no one who pretty much agrees with 538’s consensus gets much credit for prescience even if they hit them all right…

  18. Aaron Starr

    @11

    Where I part company with Wayne is that I don’t think this shift will turn O-bummer into a “pariah.” People who hate him will continue to hate him; people who worship him may do so less fervently – but he will still be President, his party will still control the Senate, and what we will see is two years of gridlock.

    Gridlock would be an improvement.

  19. Scott Lieberman

    The Republicans will not do as well as many pundits are predicting because Democrats are MUCH MUCH better than Republicans at stealing elections.

    For proof, see page 7 of “Stealing Elections” by John Fund.

    Republican politicians do lots of shady things to try to stay in office forever, but stealing elections is not their usual modus operandi.

  20. Michael H. Wilson

    Aaron Washington is in play much like Nevada but Rasmussen doesn’t do well. Their polling ain’t that great.

    Folks might want to follow the numbers on http://www.intrade.com/

    And for the record I think Root’s comment on the racism issue is a way over the top or maybe below the belt.

  21. paulie Post author

    Republican politicians do lots of shady things to try to stay in office forever, but stealing elections is not their usual modus operandi.

    They snaked 2 of the last 3 presidential elections, so they are getting better at it.

  22. Thomas L. Knapp

    David,

    You write:

    “The consensus among the number-crunchers is a GOP gain of 8 Senate Seats: ND, AR, IN, WI, PA, NV, IL and CO.”

    And I disagree with the number-crunchers. Reid will beat Angle in Nevada, Giannoulias will beat Kirk in Illinois, and the Republicans will lose a Senate seat they already have in Alaska. That knocks it down to five. I expect at least one of two — Sestak versus Toomey in Pennsylvania or Bennet versus Buck in Colorado — to go Democrat, possibly both. That knocks it down to either four or three, but I’m beginning to suspect Rossi may upset Murray in Washington for a GOP pickup I hadn’t expected.

  23. George Phillies

    The Republicans have their own issues. The Delaware Libertarian web pages

    http://delawarelibertarian.blogspot.com/2010/09/in-her-own-words-christine-odonnell.html

    give us Christine O’Donnell’s ad for her 2006 (write-in) campaign for U.S. Senate, which shows where her segment of the party stands:

    My name is Christine O’Donnell, write-in candidate for U.S. Senate.

    The biblical first fruits principle proves that, as the first state of our nation, Delaware has a unique responsibility to elect godly leaders.

    There are two issues facing America next year that could force lawsuits on churches who refuse to ordain or marry homosexuals.

    Neither of my opponents are pledging to protect the church body.

    There’s legislation that would make Delaware the global hub of embryonic stem cell research.

    This expands our state’s abortion tolerance and opens the door to human cloning in our backyards.

    My opponent also wants to surrender our sovereignty to the United Nations.

    The Washington Post once described Christians as poor, uneducated and easy to command when it comes to elections.

    By writing me in on November 7th the body of Christ would come together and reclaim the authority we are given in government.

    Delaware can elect a God-fearing U.S. Senator.

  24. Michael H. Wilson

    One thing we libertarians should be promoting is better redistricting methods so that more of the seats in the House are in play. Use of non partisan committees to develop Congressional district boundaries. Maybe that should be a top ten issue?

  25. George Phillies

    And that was Christine O’Donnell, winner of the2010 Republican Senate primary, and her positions on the issues that matter most to her.

    Your mileage may have different units. Kudos again to Delaware Libertarian for finding this ad, which must be seen on their web pages to be believed.

  26. David F. Nolan

    Scott @ 24 – Good point. That’s why the Reid-Angle race may involve recounts, court battles, etc. The Dems will use every weapon in their arsenal, legal or illegal, to save Reid’s seat. And you can count on the Chicago Machine to do the same in Illinois. So Tom’s guess of a net gain of 4-5 for the GOP in the Senate may well be accurate. I don’t see them (the Repos) taking over the Senate under any plausible scenario.

    Aaron @ 25 – Yes, gridlock would be an improvement. The worst provisions of Obamacare might get “fixed.” We probably would not see any further major expansions of Federal programs – except for big-bank bailouts, of course. And we will have just as many troops overseas, in places where they do not belong, as we do today.

    So, big whoop.

  27. Realism: neither optimism or pessimism

    @33
    David… you may want to reword that lest Aaron Starr thik you’re a “pessimist” as opposed to his hero Wayne “my initials spell WAR” Root

  28. Observer

    When I first read Wayne’s predictions, I finally figured something out: Wayne identifies most with the Tea Party. His enthusiasm for that part of the Republican party is obvious in this piece. In my neighborhood, that isn’t a good thing because our local Tea Party is very big on interventionist wars. Perhaps that isn’t true everywhere.

    Another observation I have is that Wayne has this weird obsession with Obama. It really doesn’t become him or the Libertarians party, which he represents.

  29. Thomas L. Knapp

    David @33,

    I’m sure the Illinois Democrats will raid the graveyards if that’s what they have to do to keep the Senate seat Democrat.

    I don’t think the Nevada Democrats will have to do anything like that.

    Nevada is split fairly evenly between Republicans and Democrats. The swing votes are:

    1) Independents,

    2) Moderate Republicans, and

    3) Mormons.

    The first two groups may not like Reid that much, but they’ve almost certainly noticed by now that Sharron Angle is batshit insane.

    As for the third group, Reid is one of them and they have at least some reason to believe that Angle isn’t especially favorably disposed toward them (her former pastor characterizes the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints as a cult).

  30. Be Rational

    @8

    “For me 99.99% of elections are like watching Notre Dame play Michigan in football – entertaining to watch, but I honestly don’t care who wins.”

    The difference is that after the football game, the winning team doesn’t come to your house, steal your money and beat you with a stick.

  31. Darryl W. Perry

    “The difference is that after the football game, the winning team doesn’t come to your house, steal your money and beat you with a stick.”

    True…my point being, I wish both “teams” (both halves of the Republicratic Duopoly) could lose, knowing that it’s impossible.
    And the theft, etc. will happen no matter which faction wins.

  32. Aaron Starr

    @33

    Aaron @ 25 – Yes, gridlock would be an improvement. The worst provisions of Obamacare might get “fixed.” We probably would not see any further major expansions of Federal programs – except for big-bank bailouts, of course. And we will have just as many troops overseas, in places where they do not belong, as we do today.

    So, big whoop.

    David, actually it may be a big whoop.

    Some see this as a race between government and free markets. To the extent divided government slows government’s expansion, markets have a greater opportunity to grow to where a technological solution could free ourselves from tyranny.

    I tend to be an optimist over the long haul.

  33. Be Rational

    Now, as to Wayne Root’s predictions.

    Me: After the election: R House, about 230
    R Senate, about 47

    The ideological battle continues.

    More important predictions:

    The LP will score higher vote totals than ever before for statewide, congressional, state rep and local offices.

    The LP will win or improve its ballot status in several states.

    This is where Wayne Root’s hopefilled appeals come in. Yes, he is playing to the “right” side of the field. He is trying to reach out to conservatives who lean libertarian in order to pull some of them into the LP. This is not a bad strategy.

    It would be nice if someone would get out there and try to pull in some libertarian leaners from the “left” side of the field as well. Please, don’t complain, just get out there and get busy, get invited onto radio and TV shows, spread the word, promote the LP, lean toward the peace, and legalization side. End the drug war and save thousands of lives in Mexico and across the border in the US etc. Seriously, do it. Find your best spokesperson and do the PR work.

    True, a well-balanced “center” of the LP media hound would also be welcomed. Present a well rounded picture of a soft-spoken but radical libertarian vision. This one too. Let’s get a presentable, likable, engaging personality who can deliver this message – spend some money, find a hook, and get them on the air. Don’t sit on IPR whining – please do something!

    There is plenty of room for all three – and all three types of candidates would do well in attracting media attention to our primaries and caucuses leading up to our nominating convention in 2012.

    The churning and volitility in the US electoral system will still be underway in 2012 and 2014. Let’s get out there and work to become the major party alternative to the fascist-socialist statist party that survives.

    And this is why Wayne’s message of optimism is good. He shows us that change is happening, people are moving, looking for political alternatives, and that we are here as a better choice – right now – and that after the Ds and Rs fail again, we’ll still be here, bigger and better prepared, and an even better choice, in 2012, 2014 and beyond.

  34. Steven R Linnabary

    More important predictions:

    The LP will score higher vote totals than ever before for statewide, congressional, state rep and local offices.

    My prediction is that ALL the opposition parties will experience their best ever vote totals. And I include the Socialist and Green Parties as well as the Constitution Party.

    I believe there is disgust with politics as usual across the political spectrum.

    And this is why Wayne’s message of optimism is good.

    And I wish we could bottle and sell that enthusiasm and energy. Root has shown he has boundless energy that I am envious of.

    I just can’t get excited about some republican(s) and their repulsive campaigns.

    PEACE

  35. Robert Capozzi

    Great discussion here. I agree that gridlock is good for the country and good for the LP’s long-shot, medium-range prospects. This is Root’s money quote: If the GOP legislators go to D.C. and carry on “business as usual”, such as voting for earmarks, they will be earmarked for defeat in 2012 just like Democrats this year.

    I happen to think that’s a big leap, subject to lots and lots of variables between here and there. Still, it IS possible that the LP could begin to have electoral traction in 2012. For all its warts, the Tea Party shows that a lot of people have come to the conclusion that the status quo doesn’t work, that something is terribly off in DC. This has a propensity to create a situation where people increasingly start to ask more fundamental questions, and to act in a more elemental way. It’s risky.

    Whether the LP wants to step into the realpolitick breach that may well be forming is an open question. Root by all indications wants to. Others seem hellbent on blocking him.

    How this thread of the story unfolds — couldn’t say. Inconsequential footnote would be the likely outcome, but this is America, where rags-to-riches stories do happen.

  36. paulie Post author

    “For me 99.99% of elections are like watching Notre Dame play Michigan in football – entertaining to watch, but I honestly don’t care who wins.”

    The difference is that after the football game, the winning team doesn’t come to your house, steal your money and beat you with a stick.

    A better analogy is that we observe the football game from the perspective of the grass on the field.

  37. paulie Post author

    25, 33, 40

    All things being equal, divided government is better. In my limited experience, this worked out better with a Democrat in the White House and a Republican Congress (1995-2001) than the other way around (1980s). So far, Democrat President + Republican Congress seems to be the least damaging combination I’ve observed over the past 30 years. I don’t know whether it’s enough of a sample to draw more general conclusions yet.

  38. Root's Obama Obsession

    Observer: “Wayne has this weird obsession with Obama.”

    Root is pine-green with envy at Obama. They both went to Columbia, but Obama is far more famous, far more powerful, far more successful.

    Obama has the bigger penis, and Root can’t get over it.

    Just look at the photo of Root standing atop his black Hummer. The man has issues.

    For all his success and optimism, Root suffers from deep-seated insecurity. His insecurity is part of what drives him to accumulate fame and power, even to the point of making clumsy, bald-faced lies.

    As for Root’s electoral “predictions,” they’re both safe and stale. Many pundits have long been saying the same thing, more or less.

  39. New DSM

    Again some people believe what they want to believe about Sharron Angle. She believe in smaller government and I know for a fact, there are a lot of lies against Angle, cut and paste and etc. I know some of you people don’t have a clue about Angle. I am sure some of you didn’t even listen to an unedited video of Angle.

    BTW. They found a liberalism gene, and it is considered a disease.

    @7 Paulie, you are glad democrap won. Ok. Nice Sheeple. Here Sheeple. BAAAA BAAA

  40. Pingback: Your election predictions? | Independent Political Report

  41. Michael H. Wilson

    # 49 you may want to read her website again. It doesn’t look like she want to reduce the government from what she has on there.

    You’re out! Try again!

  42. David F. Nolan

    Some historical data, just for perspective: http://news.yahoo.com/s/cq/20101026/pl_cq_politics/politics000003755411

    The problem, as I see it, is that if the Repos wind up with 53% of the seats in the U.S. House (as seems likely) while the Dems hold 52-53% of the seats in the Senate, the only legislation likely to pass is “consensus” stuff – war funding, handouts to favored interests (banks, unions, certain large corporations) etc. The likelihood that they’ll reach an agreement to cut spending, lower taxes, and reduce regulations is … almost zero.

  43. joetote

    This is the most important election of my time. As I say below, our country’s very survival depends on the electorate to come to their senses and stop this mad march to soviet style socialism.

    I want to once again address the past primaries and the future of our country in general. It is apparent beyond all doubt that the establishment on both sides are deathly afraid of the so called Tea Party (and thus the electorate in general) and they well should be! For those of you who prefer to live in a cave, the Tea Party from my view is not just about returning to conservative principles. The people who are aligning themselves behind this movement are looking for so much more. We are looking for men and women of principle! We want representatives that obey the will of the people, not their leaders or their own power lust! We want a return to the bedrock principles this country was founded on! We sure as hell do not want to be told we are racists, hate mongers or all the other names we are called just because we disagree with the direction this country is being taken. We believe in free speech, not “Obama says you will think and say as I want”.

    The Tea Party movement is many things to many people. To those in power, it is a threat. To those who believe in the hard core Marxist principles being espoused by this administration, it is a threat! For those who believe our country needs to subvert itself to the whims of Islamic Fanatics, or Euro Socialism or whatever else, it is a threat!

    As such, there are way too many people who do not remotely understand what is happening here. Our fighting men and women, our forefathers who gave their blood and lives for this country, they understand! Unfortunately, the folks that have either had everything handed to them or instead have chosen to ride on the back of others instead of being responsible for themselves combined with the elected morons who realize keeping people reliant on government insures their power, they do not understand!

    The Tea Party movement is not a fight for the heart and soul of the Republican party! A co-opted media led by a hard core left wing wanna be dictatorship government would want you to believe that it is in fact all about the Republicans. And they would be dead wrong! The Tea Party movement is a fight for the heart and soul of our country! It is a fight to return us to what made us the greatest country in the world! How sad that entrenched politicians on the right along with the garbage on the left cannot or refuse to understand such a basic tenet!

  44. Robert Capozzi

    dfn, sure. “Consensus” stuff is generally contra-indicated. Uni-partisan stuff seems more injurious, though.

    Do you disagree that divided government is generally preferable to one-party rule, in the context of nearly 100% either R or D makeup? Or are you making a different point?

  45. paulie Post author

    This is the most important election of my time.

    That’s what they always say. Ever heard of the boy who cried wolf?

  46. David F. Nolan

    Robert @ 55 – I agree, divided government is generally preferable to one-party rule. The new Congress will almost certainly be an improvement over this one, but I don’t expect it to actually move things in the direction of less government – especially with B.O. in the White House. Things will suck a bit less, but they’ll still suck!

  47. David F. Nolan

    Paulie @ 56 – So true! Never in my life have I heard politicians and talking heads say “Well, actually, this year’s election isn’t really all that important. You can sit this one out and not have to worry about the consequences.”

  48. Robert Capozzi

    hmm, in some ways, “this election” IS the “most important,” since it’s the one in play. In retrospect, some might seem “more important” than others, if the country’s in especially challenging times, or if there’s a political scandal or event that causes a major shift in the balance of power.

    Agreed, though, they all amount to maybe one yard on the football field. None of them has been especially consequential in my lifetime, at least.

  49. paulie Post author

    “I know we said it last time ,but this year we MEAN IT!!” – signed MSM”

    It’s like the King’s twelve beautiful daughters…each election is more important than the last.

    And now, another word from Rap News:

  50. I win in more ways than you know

    @52. Although I have read her website for more than one reasons. Even more than that speaking from the horses mouth. And time and time again. She wants smaller government. I won’t go into details on here. LOL.

  51. paulie Post author

    Apparently she won’t go into details here or anywhere else either. Maybe she’s a stealth smaller government candidate who will win by running as a bigger government candidate, LOL

  52. Tea Party Hates Free Speech

    joetote: “We believe in free speech,”

    If the Tea Party believes in free speech, why have there been reports that people with antiwar or peace signs have being hissed, booed, shouted down, or made to feel unwelcome.

    “For those who believe our country needs to subvert itself to the whims of Islamic Fanatics”

    There is no threat from “Islamic Fanatics.”

    The Tea Party Robots want a Bloated Government Military to save them from the Muslims hiding under their beds.

    Tea Party Robots LOVE Big Government on the backs of Muslim Americans and Mexican immigrants.

    However, the Tea Party Robots don’t want to pay for the Big Government Military. They want Sugar Plumb Elf to pay for it.

  53. Pingback: Wayne Root updates his election predictions, expects bigger gains for Republicans than he did before | Independent Political Report

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