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Polling: Independent Al Gross in Strong Position to Win Wild Battle for Alaska’s House Seat

Al Gross, an orthopedic surgeon and commercial fisherman with deep familial roots in Alaska politics, is polling in a near tie for first place against Sarah Palin in this year’s special election for the state’s lone U.S. House seat.

Gross, who received more than 40% of the vote for U.S. Senate as the Democratic nominee in 2020, is running as an independent this time around. And he seems likely to benefit from the state’s adoption of ranked-choice voting.

In a survey of 728 likely voters conducted by Change Research, Gross fares extremely favorably in match-ups against Republicans Sarah Palin and Josh Revak.

If the August special election for US House were held today and the candidates were the following, who would you vote for?
42% Sarah Palin, Republican
40% Al Gross, Independent
19% Not sure

If the August special election for US House were held today and the candidates were the following, who would you vote for?
35% Al Gross, Independent
34% Josh Revak, Republican
31% Not sure

See the complete results here.

Heading Gross’ campaign team is former Alaska Governor Tony Knowles, the campaign said, along with Susan Knowles (D-Anchorage), Mayor David Landis (I-Ketchikan), Chief Mike Williams (D-Akiak), Robert Thorstensen (R-Juneau), Former Minority Leader State Representative Beth Kerttula (D-Juneau), Mayor Steve Oomittuk (R-Point Hope), Mac Meiners (I-Juneau), Dr. Steve Compton (D-Anchorage), Greg Cashen (I-Juneau), State Representative and State Senator Mike Szymanski (D-Big Lake), Doug Rhodes (I – Prince of Whales), Nick Szabo (R-Kodiak), Mayor Steve Prysunka (I – Wrangell).

“We are building a campaign that embodies all of Alaska,” Gross said in a press release. “Our leadership team reflects the diverse coalition of backgrounds, ideologies, and political parties that our campaign is going to unite. While we don’t agree on everything, we do agree that the partisanship in Washington is failing Alaskans, and it’s imperative we elect an independent to this seat who will fight like hell to deliver for our state.”

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Austin Cassidy

9 Comments

  1. J.R.Myers J.R.Myers April 6, 2022

    I think he commissioned this poll.

  2. Richard Winger Richard Winger April 6, 2022

    It is odd that the poll didn’t ask about Nick Begich.

  3. Austin Cassidy Austin Cassidy Post author | April 6, 2022

    Did Santa file for the full term or just the special?

  4. Austin Cassidy Austin Cassidy Post author | April 6, 2022

    A left-leaning PAC commissioned the poll, but it was conducted by Change Research.

    Via Wikipedia: “In 2021, FiveThirtyEight ranked Change Research a “B-” for its historical accuracy and polling methodology and noted that it called 75% of races correctly.”

  5. J.R. Myers J.R. Myers April 7, 2022

    Santa could be a frontrunner for sure. I think he will get a large protest vote from the Rudolph faction, plus the kiss-up kids who love their stockings! However, I hear the elves are mounting a fierce labor movement at North Pole! BTW, getting a lump of coal may become a good thing! He has only filed for the Special Election to fulfill the unexpired term of Rep. Young.

  6. Ron Paul Caesar Ron Paul Caesar April 7, 2022

    Hey J.R., whatever happened to Tiara Lusk?

  7. J.R.Myers J.R.Myers April 7, 2022

    I believe she is teaching in PA.

  8. Ron Paul Caesar Ron Paul Caesar April 7, 2022

    In a High School?

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