Gary Johnson Polls 7% in New Hampshire

Gary Johnson is polling 7% in New Hampshire according to Public Policy Polling, which previously found him polling that number nationally, 15% in New Mexico, and 8% in Montana.

Gary Johnson gets 7% when included as a third party candidate in New Hampshire. He draws a little bit more from Romney than Obama, increasing the President’s lead in the state to 13 points at 51-38.

So far, Public Policy Polling has been including Johnson and some other third party candidates in many presidential polls.

18 thoughts on “Gary Johnson Polls 7% in New Hampshire

  1. Robert Capozzi

    this is a start. I trust that Team GJ is putting together a plan to get more exposure, more of the pollsters following PPP’s lead, etc. He needs to get this into the double digits, angling for 15%…today’s Mt. Everest for GJ.

    The latest vid is great messaging, although I’m not sure the watermelon works…

  2. NewFederalist

    “I give him a shot at 0.7%.”

    Do you see any way he could improve on that percentage?

  3. Carol Moore

    Still no good Gary Johnson, Judge Gray, LP Convention 2012 shots for Wikipedia.

    All that is up now is REPUBLICAN stuff
    http://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=Gary+Johnson&title=Special%3ASearch

    It easy to register at http://commons.wikimedia.org and upload; you do lose $ rights to photos but not bragging rights. Do it for the cause.

    If you don’t want the hassle and just want me to do it, send me the best shots and I will attribute to you as long as you include email giving me explicit permission to upload to Wikimedia. You retain the bragging rights.

  4. paulie

    Do you see any way he could improve on that percentage?

    One thing may be to check out past LP spots to find good ones with ideas that can be recycled, eg Harry Browne’s ads from 2000, Aaron Russo’s from 2004, Travis Irvine etc. Maybe crowd source it, open it up to suggestions from their list. Look at interesting things other alt party candidates, Ron Paul grassrots etc have done with youtube clips and TV ads and see what may be copied, and what may be worth copying. And so on.

    There are of course lots of other suggestions and I will pass them along as time permits and as I see fit.

  5. paulie

    Still no good Gary Johnson, Judge Gray, LP Convention 2012 shots for Wikipedia.

    All that is up now is REPUBLICAN stuff

    Most of it looked non-partisan to me. What am I missing?

  6. NewFederalist

    Paulie @7… thanks for the response. It was excellent although I was trying to draw out Johncjackson as to why he is so negative.

  7. Trent Hill Post author

    I think 1% is reasonable. Right now, Johnson is halfway to his 15% in a number of states (and already there in New Mexico). He’s also at 7% nationally. So, the question then is, how does he get to 15% prior to the debates? The only answer is that he would need a lot of money or a massive influx of Paul people, which isn’t likely.

  8. Johncjackson

    OK, I know the 1% national figure gets thrown around a lot as a goal, but what are some of the state level benchmarks? I’m assuming several states broke 1% in 1980. Are there any individual states that are a reliable 1%? 2%? We know polls are going to show mid single digits early, but what states are actually going to VOTE at >1%? Wasn’t badnarik polling 5% in New Mexico?

    He’s not going to get 15% nationally because he’s not even going to be included in enough polls to qualify for debates. If he is included in the polls, they are going to be presented in a way to make it impossible, and then cherry-picked if necessary.

  9. Trent Hill Post author

    Ed Clark’s campaign is the benchmark in that respect too Johncjackson.

    Wyoming, Washington, Oregon, Colorado, California, Arizona, Nevada, Alabama, and some others all got 1-3% in 1980.

    Alaska scored 11.66% that year.

    The best state, traditionally, for the LP is Alaska. Nevada, Montana, Idaho, New Hampshire, Georgia, and North Carolina have always been decent in the past too–though with the last two of those, it’s likely because they’re the only third party candidate on the ballot.

  10. Austin Battenberg

    Johnson should hire the people who did Ron Paul’s commercials.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA

    or

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WUO84t1H9Tg

    Great examples of a catchy commercial that isn’t so vanilla. The question is, without good fundraising, where would the commercials air. Online obviously, and hope that it goes viral and maybe the media will pick it up. That Big Dog one from Ron Paul was played by a lot of the msm thus it got free air time.

    I’m kinda shocked that he is doing so poorly in the live free or die state though. You would figure he would do much better there.

  11. Steve M

    Can Gary get on more Opinion Polls? I suspect that if he gets more exposure, more funds and Mitt continues to look like a disaster that the undecideds/others will grow.

    I also think that if enough people go to Gallop, Fox News, CNN, Washington Post, Rasmussen and do searches for Gary Johnson that the pollsters will take notice.

    You might also look to see if they have facebook and twitter accounts where you can ask them to add Gary to their polls.

  12. paulie

    Can Gary get on more Opinion Polls? I suspect that if he gets more exposure, more funds and Mitt continues to look like a disaster that the undecideds/others will grow.

    I also think that if enough people go to Gallop, Fox News, CNN, Washington Post, Rasmussen and do searches for Gary Johnson that the pollsters will take notice.

    You might also look to see if they have facebook and twitter accounts where you can ask them to add Gary to their polls.

    Good points. Remember polite requests are more likely to get results; rude and presumptuous ones are more likely to get backlash. There are real human beings on the other side of that computer screen or phone line.

  13. paulie

    The only answer is that he would need a lot of money or a massive influx of Paul people, which isn?t likely.

    Don’t rule it out though.

    I asked Wes if
    he thought Million dollar donations were plausible and he said maybe. He
    knows some small l libertarian billionaires or close so it is not
    impossible with a superpac. Some of them considered being Johnson’s VP and decided against it but may still come off some decent amounts of money,
    they just did not want to waste the time or have the potential PR drawbacks
    of being on the ticket. I think superpacs are allowed to keep names or at
    least amounts of donations secret. If so big donations become more likely.
    They may wait and see to chip in real money so small amounts first will
    help bring in big amounts later. Those of you have a few bucks to spare
    should consider it at least. As for me I will donate some time, dunno yet
    if it would be wise to donate any money as I may not have much work I can
    count on after Aug/Sep.

    If AE fizzles we could tap some of those donors too. I wouldn’t have thought so until I read about this

    https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2012/05/doug-schoen-at-fox-news-gary-johnson-could-catch-presidential-race-by-surprise/

    What is interesting is not the boilerplate but who said it and when

    http://irregulartimes.com/?s=schoen

    https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2012/05/what-next-for-americans-elect/

  14. paulie

    was trying to draw out Johncjackson as to why he is so negative.

    Sorry, jumped the gun. I had something to add and your comment was a good opener for it. Or so I thought.

    I’m kinda shocked that he is doing so poorly in the live free or die state though. You would figure he would do much better there.

    7% is so poor? I can only hope.

    NH is a different world politically.

    First up Johnson does best with liberals in the polls and NH is pretty conservative.

    Second they know Johnson as well as other candidates better than in other states due to the primary lead-up. Thus they have discovered more reasons not to support him – this always works against alt parties. They can agree with you 90% and with a duopoly party 40% and still find more fault with you.

    Third Rmoney is a part time resident and neighbor.

    Fourth some of them resent Free State “intruders” taking over their “state” which is way silly; more people move from MA to NH every week than have ever moved there for FSP.

    Last factor I can think of is that it is pretty easy to get elected D/R in NH for legislature or town committee, thus people don’t see the need for the LP to exist at all. I know several people that have worked LP ballot access there in several years and they all say it is one of or even the hardest state to get signatures for LP ballot access.

    In other words the question is Live Free or Die and the answer all too often is Die.

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