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Independent Political Report

Sheehan to run again in 2010?

According to the San Francisco Chronicle:

In an interview after polls closed, Sheehan didn’t concede defeat but vowed to run again in 2010. She accused the media of ignoring her and criticized Pelosi for not debating her.

…

3rd through 6th place, Presidential popular vote by percentage, 1992 to present

2008
Nader 0.52% Independent
Barr 0.40% Libertarian
Baldwin 0.14% Constitution
McKinney 0.11% Green

2004
Nader 0.38% Independent
Badnarik 0.32% Libertarian
Peroutka 0.12% Constitution
Cobb 0.10% Green

2000
Nader 2.73% Green
Buchanan 0.43% Reform
Browne 0.36% Libertarian
Phillips 0.11% Constitution

1996
Perot 8.40% Reform
Nader 0.71% Green
Browne 0.50% Libertarian
Phillips 0.19% Constitution

1992
Perot 18.91% Independent
Marrou 0.28% Libertarian
Gritz 0.10% Populist
Fulani 0.07% New Alliance
[Phillips 0.04%] 7th place, including him since the CP is still active

Analyzing these numbers, it seems that all the 3rd through 6th place finishers grew their totals slightly since 2004, came in in the same order, and that the percentage by which they grew was very roughly similar.…

National Presidential popular vote totals

From CNN, by way of Ballot Access News, with 97% of the vote counted:

Obama
63,086,600
52%

McCain
55,848,864
46%

Nader
649,097
1%

Barr
484,963
1%…

Libertarian Party Presidential performance in percentage terms, a year to year comparison

LIBERTARIAN PARTY

2008 (Barr) 0.4% (45 states)
2004 (Badnarik) 0.3% (48 states plus DC)
2000 (Browne) 0.4% (49 states plus DC, plus Smith in Arizona)
1996 (Browne) 0.5% (50 states plus DC)
1992 (Marrou) 0.3% (50 states plus DC)
1988 (Paul) 0.5% (46 states plus DC)
1984 (Bergland) 0.3% (39 states)
1980 (Clark) 1.1% (50 states plus DC)
1976 (MacBride) 0.2% (32 states)
1972 (Hospers) statistically insignificant (2 states) …

Projected order of finish in the Presidential race

At this point, enough votes are in to project (wth a pretty high level of certainty) that the order of finish in the Presidential election will be as follows…

1 – Barack Obama
2 – John McCain
3 – Ralph Nader (ind)
4 – Bob Barr (lib)
5 – Cynthia McKinney (grn)
6 – Chuck Baldwin (con)
7 – Alan Keyes (aip)

Those are the seven candidates who have or appear likely to surpass 100,000 votes each.…

Barkley holding at 16% in Minnesota

Former U.S. Senate Dean Barkley is holding at about 16% in his race against Norm Coleman and Al Franken. As the candidate of the Minnesota Independence Party, Barkley’s showing will ensure that Minnesota remains a three party state for at least the next several years.…