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New Utah poll: Trump 37%, Clinton 31%, McMullin 24%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%

Madeline Conway at Politico.com:

Donald Trump continues to hold onto a lead among likely voters in the traditionally deep-red state of Utah, according to a new Monmouth University poll, but he is ahead of Hillary Clinton by only 6 points as almost a quarter of voters flock to independent candidate Evan McMullin.

Among 402 likely voters in the state surveyed from Oct. 30 through Nov. 2, 37 percent said they support Trump, while 31 percent said they support Clinton.

Twenty-four percent back McMullin, a conservative who is running a campaign focused on Utah, where he was born. […] Four percent of voters surveyed said they support Libertarian Gary Johnson, and 1 percent indicated support for the Green Party’s Jill Stein.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

Other recent polls have had McMullin in second or, at least in the case of one poll, first place.
McMullin may have the best shot that a non-duopoly candidate has had at winning a state’s electoral votes since 1968, but it appears that some of his momentum may be fading in the end with some Republicans and Republican-leaners reluctantly deciding to vote for Trump after all.

Utah was also at one point one of the strongest states for Johnson, before McMullin eclipsed him among supposedly “Never Trump” Republicans.

H/T Ballot Access News.

6 Comments

  1. Tylor Reinhardt November 5, 2016

    I hope all the states in up in a three way like this. I don’t even care from what party at this point or if it’s an Independent candidate.

    Remember the Rassemen poll where I said we need to get the 20% closer to 33%. I sure hope it happens.

    The Democrats and Republicans just have too much power both domestically and abroad. (which is different then saying the U.S has too much power, even though some would like people to think it’synonymous. To me that’s a different discussion.)

    Absolute power corrupts absolutely. And even though you could argue on the absoluteness of one or the other, I think it’s enough power and quite obvious that the manifestation of corruption could be easily pointed out in multiple instances.

    Here is a link to the article on this website I was talking about:

    https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2015/12/rasmussen-22-would-vote-for-somebody-else-if-trump-vs-clinton-election-was-held-today/

  2. Bob Haran November 3, 2016

    If a poll doesn’t include all the candidates, it is worthless.

  3. Matt November 3, 2016

    That’s not to her advantage. She hopes to win outright. If she can’t do that, a House vote is not to her advantage since most states are majority Republican.

  4. JamesT November 3, 2016

    Honestly Hillary should endorse McMuffin in UT to through the EC into a mess.

  5. Tony From Long Island November 3, 2016

    I think Utah will end up closer than this. This poll seems to be an outlier. Trump is usually up between 3 – 5 recently. Should be a fun state to watch come in next Tuesday night.

Comments are closed.