In the final WMUR/UNH election poll, 49 percent of likely voters say they will vote for Lynch, 41 percent prefer Stephen, 2 percent favor Libertarian John Babiarz, 1 percent prefer some other candidate, and 7 percent are undecided.
The poll was conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, which interviewed 885 randomly selected New Hampshire likely voters between Oct. 27 and Oct. 31. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.3 percent.
Babiarz needs 4% to get ballot access for the Libertarian Party in 2012.
According to the Libertarian Donors Club, “the New Hampshire LP has won ballot status here before, at 3%, so the big-party legislature raised the requirement to 4%.”
The other states where the Libertarian Party performance today will determine 2012 ballot access: Illinois, where they need 5% in any statewide race; New York, where they need 50,000 votes for gubernatorial candidate Warren Redlich; and Iowa, where they need 2% for gubernatorial candidate Eric Cooper.
New York and Illinois are among the highest populated US states, New York is a national and world media capital, and both require large numbers of signatures within a short time frame to get on the ballot for parties that fail to qualify through vote totals. Iowa and New Hampshire are notable for being the two earliest contests of the major parties’ presidential primaries.