A recent poll of likely Massachusetts midterm voters shows strong support for Libertarian and Green-Rainbow candidates in the upcoming general election.
The Suffolk University/Boston Globe/NBC10 Boston/Telemundo poll shows almost every third-party candidate for statewide office earning over three percent of the vote, the amount of support required to secure major party status. Only one third-party candidate, Workers Party candidate Nick Giannone running for State Auditor, falls short of that amount.
As candidates get closer to election day, polling numbers typically tighten in favor of the major parties. However, early data from the Suffolk University poll shows positive news for supporters of third parties across the Commonwealth and provides a closer look at the fallout from the recent state primary elections.
In the gubernatorial race, Libertarian candidate Kevin Reed receives five percent (4.8%) of the vote against Republican nominee Geoff Diehl and Democratic nominee Maura Healey.
Reed, a Libertarian associated with the Libertarian Association of Massachusetts, also receives significant support from voters who backed Republican-hopeful Chris Doughty in the recent primary. A bruising primary cycle between the Diehl and Doughty camps sees 10% of Republican primary voters and 24% of Doughty supporters breaking to the Reed campaign. The poll did not include former conservative AM radio host and independent candidate Diana Ploss, who will also appear on the general election ballot.
The most heavily contested election of the season is State Auditor, with five candidates on the ballot. Democrat Diana DiZoglio leads the field, ahead of Republican Anthony Amore. Libertarian candidate Daniel Riek follows in third with five percent (5.4%) of the vote. Behind Riek is Green-Rainbow Party candidate Gloria Caballero-Roca with three percent (3%) and Workers Party candidate Nick Giannone with two percent (1.8%).
Even with five names on the ballot, there remains room for change in the State Auditor race. Polling data indicates that a sizeable 28% of voters remain undecided.
In the Secretary of State Race, Green-Rainbow Party candidate Juan Sanchez is the lone third-party candidate running against longtime Democratic incumbent Bill Galvin and Republican Rayla Campbell. While behind Galvin and Campbell, Sanchez polls at five percent (5%), showing the Green-Rainbow Party candidate securing enough to secure major party status if sustained into election day. Sanchez benefits most from Democratic voters between 18 and 35 years of age and voters unenrolled with any party.
The race for Massachusetts Treasurer offers Libertarians the safest route forward to securing major party status of their own, with Libertarian Cris Crawford appearing on the ballot as the only competition to incumbent Democrat Deb Goldberg. Crawford, the Libertarian Association of Massachusetts Treasurer, easily clears the three percent hurdle with the support of 17.6% of likely midterm voters. Further data shows the majority of Crawford’s supporters coming from unenrolled and Republican Party voters, with only 5% support from Democrats. Additionally, 33% of voters remain undecided between the two candidates.
The Suffolk University poll surveyed 500 registered voters who indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for Governor. Polling was conducted from September 10 to September 13, 2022. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Full crosstabs are available here.